Markets/Tennessee/Kingsport-Bristol

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Kingsport-Bristol, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$235,380

+0.8% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.1%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

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Neutral
3.9mo supply ยท Score -1/7

Migration: Top 31% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Wealth Influx1.20x

In-migrants avg $62,859 AGI vs out-migrants $52,420

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Opportunity Zone Market

15 ZIP codes in Kingsport-Bristol are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Kingsport-Bristol Market Summary

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA is in a stabilization phase with 0.8% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.21x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+87 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (19/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 7.09% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score83/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,948

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA's primary climate exposure is wind storms (44/100). The composite climate risk score of 19/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Kingsport-Bristol dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.