Markets/Texas/Brownsville-Harlingen

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Brownsville-Harlingen, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$199,568

+0.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

8.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

โ„๏ธ
Cooling
7.5mo supply ยท Score -2/7

Migration: Top 96% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Wealth Influx1.10x

In-migrants avg $55,406 AGI vs out-migrants $50,139

๐Ÿ›๏ธ

Opportunity Zone Market

9 ZIP codes in Brownsville-Harlingen are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Brownsville-Harlingen Market Summary

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX is in a stabilization phase with 0.6% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.89x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 8.62% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score87/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.9x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$51,334

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (90/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Brownsville-Harlingen dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.