Markets/Texas/Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$357,649

-3.9% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
5.2mo supply · Score -1/7

Migration: Top 0% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.04x

In-migrants avg $89,649 AGI vs out-migrants $85,914

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

51 ZIP codes in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Market Summary

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX is experiencing a correction with -3.9% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.1x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+19,304 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (52/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.48% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score84/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.1x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$87,155

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (72/100). The composite climate risk score of 52/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.