Markets/Texas/Nacogdoches

Nacogdoches, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Nacogdoches, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$207,278

+1.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

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Cooling
35.5mo supply ยท Score -3/7

Migration: Top 55% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Wealth Influx1.10x

In-migrants avg $45,075 AGI vs out-migrants $40,801

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Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Nacogdoches are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Nacogdoches Market Summary

Nacogdoches, TX is in a stabilization phase with 1.0% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.02x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.6% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score85/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$51,528

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Nacogdoches, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Nacogdoches dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.