Markets/Texas/Victoria

Victoria, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Victoria, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$210,547

-1.9% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.7%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
4.6mo supply · Score -2/7

Migration: Top 73% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral0.91x

In-migrants avg $51,326 AGI vs out-migrants $56,658

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Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Victoria are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Victoria Market Summary

Victoria, TX is experiencing a correction with -1.9% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.02x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (30/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.72% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score100/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$69,618

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Victoria, TX's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (60/100). The composite climate risk score of 30/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Victoria dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.