Markets/Vermont/Burlington-South Burlington

Burlington-South Burlington, VT Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Burlington-South Burlington, Vermont. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$459,183

+0.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
4.5mo supply · Score -2/7

Migration: Top 43% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.00x

In-migrants avg $71,825 AGI vs out-migrants $71,818

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Opportunity Zone Market

5 ZIP codes in Burlington-South Burlington are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Burlington-South Burlington Market Summary

Burlington-South Burlington, VT is in a stabilization phase with 0.2% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.05x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+29 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (15/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.61% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score71/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$90,911

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Burlington-South Burlington, VT's primary climate exposure is flooding (28/100). The composite climate risk score of 15/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Burlington-South Burlington dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.